UK drifts towards unending Brexit nightmare
cheap moncler outlet It is, I afraid, not over yet. Not even close. This moncler outlet mall weekend, Britain barely looked like it had a government. Or an opposition. Certainly not a strategy.
moncler moncler coats for cheap outlet online A light shines outside Number 10 Downing Street, as moncler chicago votes are counted for the EU referendum, in London, Britain June 24, 2016. REUTERS/Stefan Wermuth
buy moncler jackets Over the last few days, moncler jacket outlet many if not most moncler jackets toronto of Britain leading political figures appeared to be in hiding. They included most of those deemed possible successors to Prime Minister David Cameron or equally embattled opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn. A Official Moncler Outlet handful have since moncler jackets reappeared, but moncler jackets outlet online their statements have inspired little confidence.
Last Discount Moncler Coats week, in the aftermath of the close but still decisive verdict, it looked plausible that Britain might act swiftly on the result. moncler outlet online store That now looks much less likely. It moncler outlet usa is, bizarrely, no longer clear if or even when it might trigger the Lisbon Treaty Article 50 to leave the EU.
monlcer down jackets This will all be resolved eventually and probably in a suitably sensible way. In the short moncler jacket online term, though, it moncler jackets outlet going to be messy and buy moncler jackets toronto uncertain.
cheap moncler coats British voters are the first to outright reject EU membership in discount moncler outlet a referendum. Ireland and Denmark also initially voted against elements of major EU treaties, only to ultimately reverse that decision in a second ballot. A popular vote in Greece to reject the terms of its international bailout last year was simply ignored. moncler outlet kids This, however, looks different if only because of the much broader groundswell of discontent on a host of issues across the continent.
A lot is Cameron fault. He pledged repeatedly that if moncler jackets men Britain voted out, he would immediately trigger Article 50, but he has now gone back on that promise, leaving whoever follows him to work out what to do next.
The irony is that there moncler outlets uk are a number of potential immediate paths forward but none of them look likely to be taken. And the cheap moncler coats for women longer the economic certainty, the worse the economic and political pain may be.
cheap moncler The vote was narrow. If European leaders could come up with even moncler outlet woodbury a cosmetic offer of further concessions, particularly a renegotiation on open borders and access moncler outlets usa to benefits, a second referendum might yet see Britain agreeing to stay.
That still not impossible. After last year refugee crisis, many Europeans countries see the need for some kind of reform. If German Chancellor Angela Merkel, for example, took the lead by arranging a major summit to hammer out the issue in six months time it wouldn be unreasonable for Britain to hold fire on Article 50 and then have a second referendum afterwards.
moncler outlet sale The results of that would have to be binding and implemented fast.
moncler mens jackets For now, most European leaders are pushing for a discount moncler jackets rapid exit moncler jackets canada for Britain so they can get on with their other priorities. That not unreasonable, although Merkel was rather more nuanced in her weekend comments, saying there was no need to be or overly hasty.
Even if Britain doesn activate Article 50 immediately or at all it is already going to find itself increasingly frozen out of key European decision making and meetings. It may well want to remain part of the European Economic Area the larger free trade and movement bloc cheap moncler jackets that also includes non EU members Norway and Switzerland but that also is not a foregone conclusion.
moncler outlet Europe has plenty of its own problems, not least the cheap moncler ongoing troubles in the euro zone, and would like to move on. moncler coats for women Under the Lisbon Treaty, however, it difficult for Europe to force the UK out unilaterally. The British prime minister has to trigger it before EU nations can have the final say on womens moncler jackets whether Britain https://www.moncleroutletsite.com moncler outlet online can stay.
For now, the assumption remains that the most likely replacement for Cameron is pro former London mayor Boris Johnson, a charismatic but controversial figure.
cheap moncler jackets In a newspaper column on moncler coats for men Sunday night, Johnson attempted to be reassuring. Little would change, he said free trade and most of the other benefits of EU membership would continue. All that would happen was that Britain would begin to extricate itself from EU regulations and bureaucracy.
The problem, as both Johnson and most British voters know, is that there is no real path within EU systems to that outcome. Nor is it really what voters wanted although, of course, much of what they were promised was always dubious.
Through ducking out on Article 50, Cameron has handed his longtime rival a clearly poisoned chalice. Johnson already risks being blamed for the referendum outcome by those who resent it. By leaving him to activate the EU exit process likely to usher in another round of the market falls that accompanied the result he is putting Johnson moncler coats in an almost impossible position.
moncler sale outlet Alternatively, the Conservatives could choose a leader from the more eurosceptic edge of the campaign. Home Secretary Theresa May is increasingly touted as the obvious choice. (Chancellor George Osborne had been seen as Cameron likely successor, but he was tied perhaps too closely to the campaign. He also failed to appear in public until this morning, and his statement then was not seen as reassuring as he had hoped.)
A pro remain Conservative leader like May would face the same nightmare. She could trigger Article 50 immediately on the ground that there is no choice but to follow the clear democratic choice of the British people. The longer that process is delayed, the easier it becomes moncler outlet location to claim that the electorate might have changed its minds. Which risks restarting the whole process all over again.
cheap moncler sale Cameron Conservative government won reelection barely a year ago because many voters saw it as a safe economic pair of hands. That reputation for competence is now gone.
For the moment, the only truly credible political bloc and leader in the game remains Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and the Scottish nationalists. They want to keep Scotland and perhaps Britain in the EU. That could see Scotland attempting to block the rest of the UK from issuing its Article 50 declaration or it could mean a repeat of cheap moncler jackets outlet the 2014 independence referendum.
moncler outlet store The main opposition Labour Party, meanwhile, faces its own crisis. It had assumed, like the rest of the country, that it would not face a general election until 2020. Now, it is waking up to the prospect of a more imminent vote. A new Conservative leader might well seek a new electoral mandate or the government could collapse outright.
That helps explain the current highly visible plotting moncler coats outlet against Corbyn, a genial leftist popular amongst grassroots supporters, but whose national poll numbers are terrible.
If anything, the referendum result is a greater challenge to Labour than the Tories. Most of its members of Parliament along with voters in London and a handful of other metropolitan cities are among the most committed to the EU. To win an election, however, it also needs its traditional industrial heartland further north, Moncler Factory Outlet now heavily pro
In both local and national elections, Labour is also menaced by UKIP, the UK Independence Party that helped deliver the win moncler jackets mens for Brexit. If Britain does moncler jackets for women leave the EU, UKIP might struggle to justify its existence. But as long as this crisis teeters on, it remains moncleroutletsite.com a potent force in disaffected swathes of the country.
moncler sale If Article 50 has been triggered by the next election, the Labour Party can just accept that and moncler coats sale move on. But that might not happen.
Labour could campaign to keep Britain in the European Union moncler jackets on sale if it wins the election without a further referendum. Or it could pledge an immediate second binding referendum, moncler outlet canada perhaps without taking a strong position on either side.
Some of the pro supporters have spent the days since the vote behaving disgracefully, with what appears to be racially motivated attacks and slander against migrants moncler outlet ny reported to be rising sharply. That doesn mean that the honestly held views of the 52 percent who wanted however, cannot simply be ignored.